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Guide

Estimated vs Verified

Every headline metric on Appkitekt AI ships with two numbers. The estimated figure comes from our Latent Demand Engine — it's always available, but it's a model. The verified figure comes from a first-party console you've connected — it's the exact number your provider reports. When both exist, we show both, side by side, so you can see the delta.

How the labels work

Est.

Modeled figure from the Latent Demand Engine. Always available. Confidence tier capped at Medium when a modeled figure is what drives the score.

Verified

Direct reading from a first-party console. Overrides the modeled figure when it's fresh (default gate: 14 days). Unlocks the High confidence tier.

Which console unlocks which metric

MetricCategoryVerified byFresh window
Search impressions
How often the brand appeared in a web search result. Google + Bing.
webGoogle Search Console · Bing Webmaster14d
Search clicks
Clicks from search-result pages to the brand's site.
webGoogle Search Console · Bing Webmaster14d
Bing AI (Copilot) clicks
Clicks attributed by Bing to AI-answer surfaces (Copilot).
agentBing Webmaster14d
Web sessions
Distinct sessions on the brand's site as measured by GA4.
webGoogle Analytics 47d
App Store impressions
App Store product-page + search impressions.
appApp Store Connect14d
Play Store impressions
Play Console store-listing impressions.
appGoogle Play Console14d
Conversion rate
Purchases / sessions from the connected commerce system.
revenueStripe · Shopify · Google Analytics 414d
Revenue
Realised revenue from the connected commerce system.
revenueStripe · Shopify14d

Connecting a console

The Appkitekt Agent walks you through each connection. Click the console name in any pillar report to open the guided wizard. If you already know the drill, here's the short version:

Google Search Console

Sign in at search.google.com/search-console with the account that owns the property. The Appkitekt Agent walks you through DNS or meta-tag verification if the property isn't verified yet.

Bing Webmaster

Sign in at bing.com/webmasters, generate an API key from Settings → API access, and paste it into the connection form.

Google Analytics 4

Sign in at analytics.google.com with an account that has Viewer access to the property, then approve the read-only scopes.

App Store Connect

In App Store Connect → Users & Access → Keys, create an Analytics-scoped key (.p8), then paste the key ID + issuer ID + file contents.

Google Play Console

In Play Console → Setup → API access, link a Google Cloud service account with Statistics permission and paste the JSON key.

Stripe

Sign in at dashboard.stripe.com and approve the read-only OAuth flow (charges + payouts).

Shopify

In the Shopify admin, install the Appkitekt read-only app and approve the analytics + orders scopes.

Why we keep both numbers

  • Coverage. A modeled figure exists for every brand, even before any console is connected. The verified figure only exists once you connect the right console.
  • Cross-check. A wide gap between Est. and Verified is a signal in itself — usually a model calibration gap or a console attribution quirk worth investigating.
  • Honesty. We would rather show two numbers with clear labels than launder a modeled figure into a "real" one.